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Presidential Probation: Yar’Adua’s Evaluation Report

Nigerian President : YarAdua      
 
 
 
 
Franklin Otorofani, Esq.
12.30.07
 

Preamble

In all likelihood, you’re a great reader with above average grasp of the Queen’s language. But in all probability, you’ve not heard the term “Presidential Probation,” before now. Never mind, you’re certainly not alone. While you already had the term “probation,” in your lexicon, “presidential probation” is the new kid on the block, linguistically, that is. No one has heard the term before now because the term simply didn’t exist before now. It was coined here and now, and you read it here first! How’s that for wordsmithing?

The English language and indeed, every other language for that matter, is grown by wordsmiths for which our very own Nobel Laureate, Wole Soyinka, has become one of the grandmasters. Every now and then hundreds of new word coinages are added to the English Dictionary, especially from the realm of information technology. Such words as “internet,” “e-mail,” “streaming video,” “blog,” “spam,” “google,” “e-commerce,” “video conferencing,” “webmail,” “website,” ex-cetera, ex-cetera, have become common vocabulary. Our languages; whether it is English, French, Spanish, Igbo, Yoruba, Hausa, Edo, Ibibio, Izon, Urhobo/Isoko, you name it--are enriched through the linguistic craftsmanship of wordsmiths and the wordsmiths are hard at work coming up with new words and expressions, to add color, depth, and breath to our linguistic heritage. This dynamic process in the reinvention of our languages is ongoing and we seek to advance it one notch even in this article.


Probation


Those in the business of hiring and firing are enamored of the term “probationary period” or simply “probation.” A new hire, whether he be the lowly messenger in an office who dutifully delivers the interoffice mail and other packages or simply runs official errands, or the high flying President and CEO of a Fortune 500 Corporation who breathes down the necks of subordinates from his posh expansive ornate oval office on the 40th Floor of a glittering Corporate Headquarters in a skyscraper, is made to go through the crucible of probationary period.

Probationary period is a Human Resources tool for evaluating the on-the-job performance of a new hire in order to determine the competence and/or suitability of the individual for the job in question. However, while it is true that Human Resources managers place greater premium on the utility of probationary periods which enables them to determine who to retain on the job, the period also affords the new hire an opportunity to assess his/her employer and new work environment and decide whether it’s in accord with his/her goals and aspirations, or otherwise move on to another employer.

Viewed from that perspective therefore, it can safely be argued that probationary periods provide both employers and the employees the opportunity to evaluate each other and determine whether to continue in the labor marriage or terminate the employment relationship. The initiative to terminate the relationship could come from either side and it’s by no means limited to the employer side of the equation. Thus it is as much in the power of the employer to fire the employee as it is for the employee to fire the employer. In other words, although it may sound ridiculous, “hire and fire” is as much a prerogative of the employer as it is of the employee, in that the employer too can be “hired and fired” by the employee just as the employee can be hired and fired by the employer. Here is how it works: When a new hire abruptly tenders a resignation letter or simply walks out on his employer, he/she is considered to have “fired” his/her employer just as when he/she is given the boot by his/her employer.

That said given the unequal relationship between employers and employees, the scenario of an employee “firing” the “employer” carries little or no weight as the employer firing the “employee.” That’s why probationary period means more to the employer than the employee. New hires dread the period and generally put their best foot forward during the period. They are considered fully employed only upon the successful completion of their probationary periods. Those who scale through are retained and those who fail are shown the exit door! It’s that simple!

The author has just completed such a probationary period that lasted five grueling months of management training and hands on experience in a top flight Health Insurance Company and he is happy to report that he scaled through in all the evaluation reports to date (three in all). Thumbs up for one more ‘Niger’ right up there in the heart of the financial capital of the world! But don’t envy me folks: it’s as tough as hell out there in corporate America. But it’s one heck of experience that would prepare one for higher responsibilities in life someday. So, Yar’Adua is not alone in being subjected to probationary evaluation. He is even lucky that his job is political rather than professional where he has a greater flexibility and operating legroom to maneuver his way through his probation.


Applicability in Public Office

But is the concept of probation applicable in the political arena? Do political office holders worry about passing their probationary periods as civil servants and the rest of the labor force do? Is there anything like parliamentary, gubernatorial, or presidential probation? If the answer is ‘no,’ I ask, why not? And, if it is ‘yes,’ I ask, how so? The answer is both ‘yes’ and ‘no’. ‘No,’ in the sense that no elected political office holder is formally required to commit to a probationary period at the point of hire as it’s done in other offices once elected into office. A political office holder, such as a lawmaker, municipal council chairman, governor, or president, is elected for a term certain, and therefore, enjoys the luxury of running out his/her full term of office (all things being equal) without being subjected to an initial probationary evaluation that could abruptly terminate his/her tenure, if found wanting.

Permit me to postulate, however, that there is as much probation in public service as there is in private service. In other words, political office holders, such as legislators, local government chairmen and councilors, governors, and presidents, are subject to the same probationary standards as are other public office holders in the polity, perhaps, even more so, especially in well established democracies. In functioning democracies, there are tools for evaluating the performance of political office holders, and if need be, terminate their tenures before their expiration dates. The most dramatic of these tools are: (1) impeachment (2) constituency recall, and ultimately (3) voting out.


Impeachment: Impeachment is the process of an abrupt termination of the tenure of a sitting public office holder particularly that of the executive and judicial branches of government. A president, governor, or judge, may be removed from office through the process of impeachment on grounds of incompetence, gross misconduct, or other reasons before the expiration of his/her term of office. While the instrument of impeachment is rarely used in developed democracies it has gained currency in Nigeria in the present democratic dispensation. What, with the raft of gubernatorial impeachments in Ekiti, Lagos, Abia, Oyo, and Anambra states, Speakers of Houses of Assembly, and the inchoate but audacious attempt to visit it on former President Obasanjo, Nigerians sure know what impeachment sounds and feels like even though they might not be absolutely sure that the instrument was not being put to illegitimate use or abuse during the period. When put to legitimate use, however, impeachment provides the polity with a valuable tool for the probationary assessment of an incumbent chief executive or judicial officer, provided, of course, it is not hijacked as a partisan tool to fight political battles or personal vendetta as was the case during the US President Clinton’s impeachment debacle or as was the case in Nigeria.


Constituents’ Recall: Recall of political office holders by their constituents is one of the instruments of tenure termination. It is the prerogative of the constituents of an elected public office holder to determine when the office holder should cease to represent them. A governor of a state or legislative representative of a constituency can be recalled by his/her constituents at will. The most recent example is that of former Governor of the state of California, Mr. Gray Davis, who was recalled by the state constituents thus paving the way for the emergence of the incumbent Governor Arnold Schartzeneger. Governor Davis was swept off the state executive mansion through a petition started by a Republican party activist that snowballed into a political hurricane that took away the governor in one huge gale. His alleged stand-offish arrogance had alienated him from his core democratic constituency that dumped him like a piece of trash at crunch time. In Nigeria, the former Deputy Senate President, Alhaji Ibrahim Mantu, was subjected to the ordeal of constituent recall, albeit unsuccessfully. While no constituent recall efforts have to date been successful in Nigeria, the very public awareness of the availability of that instrument and the willingness to deplore it against erring public office holders, makes it a veritable instrument for keeping in check excesses of public office holders as well as their performance evaluation.


Voting Out: (The Terminator!) A thousand apologies to Gov. Schwartzeneger! This is the ultimate instrument of termination. When everything else fails, a public office holder is bound to meet his/her waterloo at the polls. His constituents would ambush him/her at the polls and take their pound of flesh. That is their payback time and they would take full advantage of it. Those who have the power to hire also have the power to fire and that’s when the concept of the people’s sovereign power is validated in a democracy. Again, Ibrahim Mantu provides a good example in Nigeria of the exercise of that power by the people.

All efforts to get Mantu out of the Senate failed miserably until his traducers used the last senatorial elections to shove him aside. Discounting for a moment the role of electoral malpractices, the defeat of an incumbent in a re-election bid signifies the rejection of the candidate, and ipso facto, the termination of his representation of the constituents in question. It’s therefore, a vote of no confidence in the performance of the particular office holder. In other words, it’s a failure in his probationary evaluation report if the first term is taken as the probationary period.

In all the above cases the constituents are both the judges and enforcers; in some cases acting directly, as for example, in the Governor Davis case, and in others, through their representatives in parliament, as in the impeachment cases.


Application Constraints

However, the mechanism for monitoring and evaluating the performance of public office holders even in well grounded democracies, is radically different from what obtains in the private sector. While a new hire in the private sector is subjected to intense scrutiny by his managers, sometimes on a day-by-day basis, the political office holder is given a wider berth or somewhat loose evaluation regimen over a much longer period of time. The reason for this wooliness in the evaluation process can be located in the very nature of the political system itself and its operating culture protectionism.

Who, for instance, monitors and evaluates the performance of the lawmaker, governor, president, or local government council chairman, for that matter in a systematic and continual basis? Some may say, the governor or president monitors and evaluates the lawmaker, and the lawmaker, in turn monitors the governor or president. Others may hold that the people are the ones that monitor the President, governor, and the lawmaker. Yet, others may say it’s the judiciary that monitors all the other public office holders in the other branches of government.

All of the above answers are more or less correct. However, they only give a partial picture of the landscape, and only so in theory and hardly in practice. While the constitution provides for a robust regime of checks and balances as between and among the three tiers of government, the very process of the composition of these tiers of government makes it extremely difficult, if not impracticable, for inter-institutional surveillance and evaluation to be effectively undertaken in a democratic dispensation.

This inherent weakness is accentuated by the party system, which promotes loyalty to the party and its functionaries rather than to the nation. Thus a President whose party is in control of the legislature is likely to get away with both legal and constitutional infractions regardless of the constitutional provisions for checks and balances. We have seen that in the US where the Republican Party moves in lockstep with President Bush in each and every issue except on immigration, including the hot button issue of wiretapping telephone lines of fellow American citizens in their own country in the name of war on terror. The Republic party controlled Congress bluntly refused to censure the President and shot down every attempt by Democrats to censure the President. Senator Russ Feingold’s Resolution to censure the President was dead on arrival on the floor of the US Senate because of the fierce opposition by the Republican senators who stood behind their President like Iroko trees. We have seen that also in Nigeria where the ruling Party, the PDP controlled National Assembly, lined up behind the President in almost every move of the President regardless of the constitutionality or legality of some of the presidential actions.

On its part, save for a few occasions, the Presidency is unwilling to call the legislature to order ostensibly in deference to the doctrine of separation of powers. Again, we saw that play out in Nigeria during the Ettehgate affair when President Yar’Adua bluntly refused to intervene to urge the resignation of the ex-Speaker Etteh until she was forced out by the Nigerian people themselves when everything else failed to move her. The wooliness of probationary period of elected public office holders is made more precarious by geo-ethnic considerations in a country like Nigeria. Political and public office holders in Nigeria have their entire ethnic groups lined up behind them who would go to any lengths to protect and shield their sons and daughters in public service from public accountability when the chips are down. This ‘ethnic insurance policy’ on tenure renders almost completely nugatory the concept of probation in public service. And if there is any redemptive feature left after that, it is taken away by the zoning formula, which has stealthily crept into the nation’s political lexicon to put the final nail on the coffin of accountability and financial probity.

Thus the deadly combination partisanship, ethnicity, and zoning, that foster protectionism in public service, have conspired to rob our democratic experience of the vitality and wholesome features that are inherent in the human resource tool of probation. In other words, it has rendered the constitutional provisions of checks and balances in the system as theoretical toothless bulldog that is even unable to bark let alone bite. This has in effect put to question the practicability of the regime of checks and balances in our political system. As the nation embarks on the exercise of constitutional amendment she needs to pay a great deal of attention to the issue of checks and balances and fashion out a formula on how best to actualize their operability in a politico-cultural milieu such as ours.


Yar’Adua Evaluation Report

The constraints alluded to above notwithstanding, Nigerians in general and the media in particular, owe it to themselves and the nation to perpetually keep the government on its toes in its own interest and the interest of the nation. And this should by no means be restricted to the Federal Government but to governments at the lower levels as well. After all, more than 50% of federal revenues goes to the other two tiers of government—state and local in addition to their internally generated revenues. In the end the states and local governments are a whole lot richer than the Federal Government itself; all of which revenues are shared with the states and local governments while bearing the brunt of funding our defense diplomatic missions, military, federal highways, air and seaports, internal and external security, tertiary education, postal services, and a host of other responsibilities.

That said the focus here is on President Musa Yar’Adua and not on state governors and local government chairmen. The reason for this is because the President sets the tone and direction for the entire country. The presidency exerts the greatest political and economic influence on the entire nation. It’s only natural therefore, that we train our searchlight at the Presidency.


Presenting the Report:

Ladies and gentlemen, please permit me to present the Evaluation Report of President Musa Yar’Adua Probation—May 29, 2007-December 29, 2007.

In presenting this report to the nation it is important to observe at the outset that this report has defined parameters: (1) It must strive at objectivity rather than subjectivity; (2) It must be fair and balanced; (3) It must be constructive, neither partisan nor sensationalized; (4) It must be progressive; that is to say, it must point the way forward; (5) As the title of this piece suggests this is not a final verdict on President Yar’Adua. It is a report on the probationary period therefore the President is not being evaluated on his ultimate records in the long haul. It’s necessarily a provisional report; and (6) It must meet Yar’Adua on his own turf, that is to say, match President Yar’Adua’s performance against his electoral promises rather than what others want him to do. Put another way, Yar’Adua must be evaluated against the goals he set out to achieve as President of the greatest black nation on earth. If a man fails to meet the goals and expectations set by others he can be excused but if he fails to meet the goals and expectation he sets for himself the verdict would be a lot harsher. And that brings us to Yar’Adua’s goals and expectations of his presidency.


Yar’Adua’s Seven-Point Agenda

The seven-point agenda features energy emergency, security of lives and properties, land reforms and human capital development with compulsory education for children. Others include wealth creation/poverty alleviation, transportation and infrastructure revolution.


(1)Energy Emergency:-“Yar’Adua to declare national emergency in power sector,” screams the dailies. Nigeria’s energy problems have defied every government solution. It appears that Nigerians are condemned to live in perpetual darkness in this information age. It is hard to believe that Nigerians cannot enjoy a single day of uninterrupted power supply which even war torn countries like Iraq and Afghanistan enjoy, at least in their capital cities. The preceding Obasanjo administration embarked on an ambitious reform program that was unfolding when President Yar’Adua took over. But despite more than a trillion naira invested in the sector, very little change has been recorded. It appears that the problem has even worsened as demands continue to outpace supply by an ever widening margin. Nigeria’s power need is currently put at 15,000 Megawatts whereas it currently generates and distributes less than 4,000 Megawatts leaving a huge shortfall of over about 11, 000 Megawatts. It’s easy to see therefore why the meager successes record under the Obasanjo administration in increasing generation output from the miserable 1,700 Megawatts to the under 4, 000 megawatts, would not even make a dent in the energy profile of the country. While the reform agenda in the power sector is on the right track, the reforms urgently require an accelerated response from the government. Thus President Yar’Adua’s promise to declare an energy emergency in the power sector “as soon as he was sworn in” was a timely response from ‘candidate’ and “President-Elect’ Yar’Adua, as opposed to President Yar’Adua.


Report: We report that this promise has yet to be fulfilled seven months after inauguration. The presidency has offered the nation a cocktail of excuses for the lack fulfillment of this electoral promise. We note however, that the President has set up a commission to work the issue which would submit its report in six months. The nation has seen the difference between a presidential candidate on the campaign stump, a president-elect caught up in the euphoria of victory, and a president in office in terms of performance.


Recommendation: We recommend that the President should declare an economic emergency that would enable the government to bring in power plants in badges offshore similar to what obtains in the oil sector in deep sea oil prospecting rigs, in collaboration with the private sector until the inland power plants under construction come on stream. Waiting for a report by some bureaucrats in six months does not exactly appear to us as the best
way to respond to a national emergency of this magnitude.


(2) Security of Lives and Property:-This issue must be treated for what it is vis-avis the role of government in society. Government may not provide electricity for the citizens. It may not provide food on their dinning tables; it may not provide clothes and shelter for the citizens; it may not provide health and education for the citizens; and it may not provide anything in between—roads, transportation, telecommunication, ex-cetera, but it cannot afford not to provide security for the people because that is the very reason for the existence of government in the first place! Thus
President Yar’Adua hit the nail right on the head when he made security of life and property one of his seven-point agenda. In fact, I could go so far as to state that it should have been the number one item on the agenda even before energy. If President Yar’Adua is able to fulfill this promise he will have justified the reason for the existence of government, and in Biblical language, everything else thing will be added unto him.


Report: The President has not delivered on this promise. While the 2008 first full Yar’Adua budget in office contains impressive vote for security, which could significantly improve the dire security situation in the country if approved by the National Assembly, there is no significant short term measure to combat worsening security conditions in the country at the moment. The nation is currently under siege by armed robbers making life short, hazardous, brutish, and therefore, unbearable for the generality of the citizenry.


Recommendation: The Nigerian Police Force as presently Constituted, is not a crime fighting force but an engine of corruption. The dismal performance of the Nigerian police stems primarily from a climate of attitudinal and ethical atrophy and not necessarily from dearth of manpower or equipment. The police do not need armored tanks, frigates, warships, bombs, and jet bombers, to fight street crimes like armed robberies. Therefore, for the police authorities to always blame their failures on lack of sophisticated police equipment is sheer bunkum and it’s totally un-acceptable. It’s an attempt to blame their failures on their tools rather than on their poor, deficient skill set. A situation where the force cannot even police itself and harbors armed robbers within its rank and file is, to say the least, deplorable. We recommend therefore that the President must give the top hierarchy of the force enforceable security benchmarks within specific timeframes, failing which it should be disbanded and replaced with another one with similar benchmarks.


(3) Land Reforms:-Presently the 1978 Land Use Act (LUA) vests all lands within the state in the Governor of the state. Land is recognized as the most important factor of production because everything thing required for economic activities sits on land. But land is a finite resource that cannot be produced but only improved or reclaimed as the case may be. Vesting all state land in the governor of a state was meant to make land readily available for economic activities through the machinery of government. But today the lofty dreams of the then military government of General Olusegun Obasanjo have all but been dashed as state governments make a racket of land certificates of occupancy (C of O). C of Os have become veritable instruments of corruption in the hands of state governors thus negating the very purpose of the land reform.


Report: Yar’Adua has yet to deliver on this agenda item. Worse still, there is no indication on the ground pointing to government’s activity on this front. No legislation has been proposed before the National Assembly and no committee has been set up either, to advise the government on the way forward. In fact, it would appear that land reform item has disappeared altogether from the seven-point agenda. Yet, it is too early to conclude that the government has abandoned this agenda item. The government might just be working under the radar to fashion out solution that would not upset the applecart.


Recommendation:-The government needs to reassure the people that it has not abandoned land reform in its agenda. If for whatever reasons the government is no longer keen on the proposed reform it should be bold enough to let the public know its position because governance is a public trust, therefore it is counterproductive to keep the citizens in the dark on this issue. No one knows the character of Yar’Adua’s proposed land reform. However, anything that quickens the process of land acquisition for economic activities would be most welcome even if it means divesting state governors of the vesting rights to land. However, that would require an amendment of the constitution, which would be a Herculean task as the governors would most certainly mobilize their Houses of Assembly to oppose any amendments of LUA that divests them of their present powers. But we recommend that the real goal is not about power play to castrate the governors but to accelerate the process of land acquisition and if the governors can be constitutionally made to be more responsive in land acquisition processing bureaucracy the better for all and our economy.


(4) Human Capital Development:-There is no question that the nation is blessed with huge reservoir of human capital. The question is whether this huge asset is in tune with the demands of the times. Has the nation developed a critical mass of manpower in the critical areas of human endeavors that are relevant to our quest for economic and technological attainments? The answer is a resounding ‘no.’ It is the reason why highly trained graduates are still roaming the streets in search of jobs while the nation hires foreigners to service the economy in critical areas of technology. There is no question therefore that the products of our tertiary educational system are unemployable. Human capital development must therefore be focused and targeted at the areas of need that are most critical to our national goals.


Report: Yar’Adua is yet to deliver on this agenda item. There is nothing on the ground to suggest even remotely that the government is interested in implementing this item on the agenda. The nation may have to wait for the details of the budget breakdown to know what percentage of the budget would specifically go for human capital development. Until then mum is the word.


Recommendation:-Human capital development holds the key to the nation’s quest for economic and technological aspirations. As I have recommended in a previous article Yar’Adua must expand this agenda item to include Research and Development (R&D) rather than just concentrating on formal education alone.


(5) Poverty Alleviation:-This item on the Yar’Adua agenda is perhaps more relevant to the common man in the street than any other item on the agenda. In a country where majority of the citizens live below the poverty line this item should resonate well with the people. The preceding administration had an entire governmental agency devoted to the issue of poverty alleviation but it is not clear how much success it has achieved in the past eight years. Statistics available indicate, however, that there has been some modest reduction in poverty levels in Nigeria over the period although this has not been felt in any significant way in the street.


Report:-Yar’Adua has not delivered on this agenda item. Beyond the usual sound bites, there is nothing on the ground to indicate that the government has come up with anything new to reduce the country’s poverty levels. Even the existing agency created for poverty alleviation has not been elevated or accorded the prominence it deserves in the scheme of things. In fact, many Nigerians do not even know of its existence let alone its impact on their fortunes. There is no movement on this item so far.


Recommendation:-The best and permanent way to reduce poverty is through job creation. While it is the role of the private sector to provide jobs with appropriate government’s incentives in place, it is recommended that government should embark on temporary measures to create jobs. One of such would be the revamping of the Public Works Department (PWD). Direct labor could be used to maintain our broken roads and buildings and other infrastructures as well as beautify our environments.


(6) Transportation:-Transportation system is to the nation what the circulatory system is to the body. The body would be starved to death without the circulatory system which carries all the essential nutrients that make life possible to the various organs of the body through the blood stream. The nation’s transportation system, like every other sector, is in disastrous condition whether we are talking about air, marine, land, and rail transportation. Therefore for candidate Yar’Adua to have included this all important item on the agenda is quite commendable. Nigerian leaders have done exactly the same thing in the past. It’s so easy to correctly diagnose Nigeria’s problems because even an unborn child could easily do so from its mother’s womb. Therefore, the issue is not about including the item on the agenda per se, but making a difference. Everyday, the nation is bombarded with reports about the deplorable conditions of our roads. Whole sections of so-called Trunk ‘A’ roads have been cut off and motorists and travelers spend hours and days on our roads with huge costs to our economy and the vehicles alike.


Report:-Yar’Adua has not delivered on this item. There is no plan on the table, save for what Yar’Adua inherited from the Obasanjo administration, for the development of the transportation sector nor has the transportation policy inherited been accorded any meaningful impetus or added urgency in the scheme of things.


Recommendation:-Yar’Adua has got just seven items on his agenda of which transportation is one. He is fortunate enough to have inherited a comprehensive transportation policy from his immediate predecessor. Implementation of that policy should not take forever. He needs to move aggressively to implement the transportation policy that would create a modern and efficient inter-modal transportation system for the nation.


(7) Infrastructural Revolution:-This is an omnibus item on the agenda. Obviously, infrastructure would include transportation, telecommunication, roads, railways, buildings, power supply, and everything else in between.


Report:-Yar’Adua has not delivered on this item. No revolution has been declared so far in infrastructural development. It’s still more of a political campaign sound bite than any serious attempt to launch a revolution in these areas. Just as the President failed to declare a state of emergency in the energy sector, so has he failed to launch the promised revolution in infrastructural development.


Note: By “delivering” we don’t necessarily mean solving the problem in question in seven months but articulating a comprehensive and actionable interventionist agenda for solving the problems and backing that up with appropriate budgetary provisions. It would also involve setting up the implementation machinery within the probationary period. Where that is not the case the President has not delivered even in the preliminary stages.


Verdict: President Musa Yar’Adua Has Failed His Probation! Incidentally, the AC has reached the same conclusions and most honest Nigerians would unquestionably agree with the above score card of the administration.


Recommendation:-It is hereby recommended that Yar’Adua’s presidential probation be extended by another five months to enable him begin the implementation of his first full budget.


Conclusions: The advent of this administration held so much promise for the nation even if came on board in a blaze of controversies arising from the flawed elections. The reasons for the optimism stem largely from his youth and educational attainment as well as change in leadership. It was truly a generational shift that Nigerians were yearning for. For the first time a university graduate and a youth was given the chance to lead. It was a huge test for the youthful Yar’Adua. But given the sterling performance of youthful stars like Oby Ezekwesili, Nuhu Ribadu, and el-Rufai in the previous administration, not a few Nigerians thought, perhaps wrongly, that President Yar’Adua would make a significant difference just like the other youthful stars in the previous administration. Unfortunately, Yar’Adua is turning out to be of a different hue altogether. He has surrounded himself with non-entities who are busy demolishing the reform structures inherited from the previous administration without as much as replacing them with new ones. In one word, they’re not builders but destroyers eager to undo the achievements of their predecessors in office.

The President limited himself to a seven-point agenda which is a modest portfolio by national standards. He showed flashes of inspiration philosophically in his early days in power. His postulation on servant leader and his commitment to rule of law declarations hold some promise that are yet to be put to practice in real sense. That initial flash of inspiration has, however, begun to wear thin for lack of demonstrable consistency and sincerity of purpose in matching words with action. There is a wide gulf between the president’s public declarations and his actions. Rule of law is observed when it suits the administration and dumped when it stands between the administration and its parochial agenda.

What is more, the President has fallen short of his own expectations, and therefore of the nation. In the place of action the nation is being offered empty slogans and sound bites. In the place of policy fulfillment we’re getting a menu of promises. In the place of performance we are offered a basket of excuses for failure. Even as this article goes to the press President Yar’Adua is still in Kano making the same promises he made during the electioneering campaigns. It would appear that, for him, the campaigns are not over yet. The administration has spent more of its time churning out promises than delivering on a single one of them.

Meanwhile, short of a coherent policy platform, all manners of dark schemes are being hatched in Aso Rock designed for the personal destruction of individual characters who are not in the good books of the administration. The current onslaught against EFCC is indicative of this renewed trend. First, it was el Rufai that was booted out. Charles Solubo was to have joined him but for the law establishing the Central Bank that makes it almost impossible to fire the CBN boss without the concurrence of the legislature. But the administration has ensured that Charles Solubo is frustrated enough in his policy initiatives just as it has done to Nuhu Ribadu. The D-G of BPE Mrs. Irene Chigue survived the bid to remove her by the whiskers. INEC Chairman, Maurice Iwu has been targeted for removal and he is hanging in there by the tread of electoral adjudicatory circumstances. And after several failed attempts to cage him, Nuhu Ribadu, has at last, been shoved aside under patently dubious circumstances. The administration appears to be on a mission of vendetta against those who outshine them even as it walks on crutches on account of its congenital electoral deformity.

All the leading lights of the reform agenda Yar’Adua inherited have been removed and/or sidelined. And the tragedy of it is that they are being replaced with mediocre and unremarkable individuals who have only succeeded in dimming the lights on the reforms by indulging in sundry acts of revisionism. Is it any wonder then that the administration is still groping in the dark unable to chart a distinct course for itself more than seven months after taking over the reins of power? The administration bears all the hallmarks of a caretaker regime, very much akin to the Shonekan’s lame duck governmental interregnum after the forced exit of the IBB, aka ‘Evil Genius.’ It’s a matter for regret that the Yar’Adua lame duck presidency is fast degenerating into a sorry pass where witch hunting has become its first order of business. It may well be the beginning of the end in the macabre dance of the current dispensation.

If I were a soothsayer, I would say that the auguries do not look particularly good. But I’m not. Yet one does not need to be a soothsayer to appreciate the auguries. What, with the nation in disarray over ordinary local government elections when the dust over the last general elections is yet to settle; with the Presidential Election Tribunal verdict around the corner; the 2008 budget quagmire, and the Ribadu nightmare haunting the Yar’Adua administration, how optimistic can one be in these precarious times? A dark pall hangs ominously over the nation that only a decisive action on the part of the President can dissipate it. President Yar’Adua must stop the current drift into despair and hopelessness.

Yet the President continues to show some dim promise even if not fulfillment. For that reason, therefore, he would need to have his probationary period extended till the execution of his full budget to enable us to deliver a fuller assessment of his probationary performance in office. For now, however, there is not much to write home about. No substantive progress has been recorded by the administration leaving his spokesman Mr. Olusegun Adeniyi to plead for patience and understanding. Mr. Adeniyi has spent more time making excuses for Yar’Adua’s failures and pleading for time than singing about the successes of the administration. That should be a barometer for measuring the pathetic state of the Yar’Adua administration. Unfortunately, patience, just like land, is a finite commodity, which is in very short supply right now in Nigeria.

Mr. President needs to be more firm and surefooted in governance. He appears to be groping in the dark with no clear cut policy direction thus allowing external forces and political jobbers to dictate the tune of his administration. The emerging public image of his government is one that has been hijacked by gubernatorial rogues. The Yar’Ardua administration is now hostage to crooks, rouges, and vagabonds. The removal of Nuhu Ribadu, the Chairman of the anti-graft agency, has only helped to ossify that image in the minds of Nigerians. Trust me, that is not the kind of image Mr. President would like to take to the bank in retirement.

God Bless our Nation and Guide our Leaders Aright.


Franklin Otorofani, Esq. (USA)
Contact: mudiagaone@yahoo.com

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